DV

David Victor

Things David Says on Podcasts

Where to Find Them

David Victor has been a guest on The Climate Question (5 times) , Cleaning Up: Leadership in an Age of Climate Change , Climate Rising , All Things Sustainable , Thoughtful Journalism and Energy Switch .

Recently: “How The Midterms Will Change US Energy & Climate | Ep282: David Victor” on Cleaning Up: Leadership in an Age of Climate Change (November 2026); “Canada Cannot Sprinkle Its Way to Industrial Success” on Thoughtful Journalism (October 2026); “How can the world speed up climate action?” on The Climate Question (November 2025); “The Potential and Challenges of the Voluntary Carbon Market” on Climate Rising (January 2025); “Was the COP climate summit a success?” on The Climate Question (November 2024); “Does the US Need a Thriving Oil and Gas Industry?” on Energy Switch (April 2024).

What They Said

“In Silicon Valley, a business plan sometimes is a napkin and a Sharpie and a lot of big smile. We have dozens of these new reactor companies that have now emerged. It seems like everybody's got a reactor company. Most of them will die. That's great. At some point we're going to need a few companies that are going to survive.” — David Victor, Cleaning Up: Leadership in an Age of Climate Change

Bryony Worthington asked how long investors' appetite for betting on promised futures in advanced nuclear can last. David Victor says the new small reactors carry little nuclear risk but heavy financial risk.

Cleaning Up: Leadership in an Age of Climate Change · 2026-11-06 Permalink → Listen →
Cleaning Up: Leadership in an Age of Climate Change Around 37:49 into the episode
David Victor

…is not infinite. And that whole reckoning on the money side, and then also on the government skill side, we were talking about a little bit ago, that requires government. And that's the real work of governing. And I think we have for too long pushed that off. And now we have to reckon with it.

Bryony Worthington

…not necessarily, well, Anthropic set-aside Anthropic, who does seem to be now revenue generating. A lot of this is all sold on the promise of the future. And it seems to sustain itself for quite a long time, right? This kind of, I don't know, you know, it's a bubble, but how long does it go for?

David Victor

But Brianna, you live in Silicon Valley. That's the future. And that is one of the beauties of this kind of incessant optimism and willingness to take extraordinary risk and in particular financial risk. And so that's been, to me, what's really interesting about the new nuclear play, the so-called small module reactors, some of which are not that small, is They are being designed from physics principles to have low or essentially zero classic nuclear risk, but massive financial risk because you're doing something totally new and you're trying to figure out how to get a license and so on. All that said, the Nuclear Regulatory Commission has completely reworked its procedures such that it now is able to issue construction licenses to these new reactors based on their assessment of the physics risks here. The TerraPower, which I mentioned, has its construction license that it got earlier this year. Any day now, literally any day now, we're going to see the one for Kairos and Kairos already has theirs. We're going to see the one for X Energy, which is a joint venture with Dow Chemicals where they're using high…

Bryony Worthington

Can we just switch? Because I mean, I can hear Michael saying in his ear, in my ear, what are you doing talking about nuclear so much? It really wasn't on the ballot, right? And in a sense, that is good. Yeah,

David Victor

nuclear wasn't on the ballot. Here's a reason to talk about nuclear. In a world where politics flips and flops, we had a huge flip on Tuesday to the blue direction. It will come back. In that world, success requires building and holding together a coalition of folks in the center. It requires when…

Bryony Worthington

Yeah, no, no, I completely agree. And we've just in the UK just seen our government, arguably one of the most progressive governments on climate, not just energy, but climate too, saying they're going to pause auctions for clean electricity now and switch to focusing, I hope, on the lower hanging…

Speaker names come from our own diarization. The position is estimated from where the line sits in the episode.
“Some large fraction of the data centers being planned in Texas right now… are being planned by companies that never built a data center before. Like, these are cowboys. Most of those projects are going to die.” — David Victor, Cleaning Up: Leadership in an Age of Climate Change

David Victor was explaining why the data center boom is a headache for utilities, which can't tell which projected demand is real. He suggests the forecasts feeding grid investment may be inflated.

Cleaning Up: Leadership in an Age of Climate Change · 2026-11-06 Permalink → Listen →
Cleaning Up: Leadership in an Age of Climate Change Around 21:26 into the episode
David Victor

…everything's going up. But they're sensitive to the posted price and not to the real price. And in that world, I think it's become very hard to get people to believe the argument that more data centers would actually be good for us because they would help lower power prices for everybody else.

Bryony Worthington

…kids into good schools and they progress. That's kind of inverted. Now people are worried about their kids' futures. And this all gets, you know, the totem for all of that is a data center, this physically large, imposing gray box that's just showing up in communities and really alienating people.

David Victor

…the table. You wake up in the morning, you're doing something new. You've got small modular reactors, you've got solid-state transformers, you've got HVDC, you've got all these other things that are coming inside the industry, and demand in some places is really rising quickly. All that said, the data center build out is a huge challenge for the utilities because they don't know what to believe. Some large fraction of the data centers being planned in Texas right now, it's a place that I've looked at the data most recently, are being planned by companies that never built a data center before. Like these are cowboys. Most of those projects are going to die. And then on top of it, you've got all these crossholdings inside the tech companies that have made AI tech very, very frothy. And you're already beginning to see some of the air come out of that bubble.…

Bryony Worthington

Yeah, and I think there's also an element of not wanting your politics to be for sale to the highest bidders, right? I mean, what we saw in Texas was remarkable, really. You know, Elon Musk put in hundreds of millions of dollars into this election to try and keep Texas red. He completely failed…

David Victor

The Texas Senate race was extremely expensive. It was a crucible in which all these issues of corruption and money and politics are flowing and around which there's some kind of investigations that are going to happen at the federal level that may end up actually not focusing on Texas money. That…

Speaker 3

Cleaning Up is proud to be supported by its leadership circle. The members are Actis, Alcazar Energy, Arup, Climate Imperative Foundation, Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners, Signum Capital, Davidson Kempner, Eco Pragma Capital, EDP, Euroelectric, KKR, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, National Grid…

Speaker names come from our own diarization. The position is estimated from where the line sits in the episode.
“My theory of this is that the data centers are like fly paper. And attracted to the fly paper are all of these concerns that are actually at core about AI, and about the concern that AI is out of control.” — David Victor, Cleaning Up: Leadership in an Age of Climate Change

Bryony Worthington noted that dozens of ballot measures this election were aimed at stopping data centers. David Victor, who studies the electricity business, argues the backlash is partly a proxy for wider anxiety about AI, and that some complaints, like water use, don't hold up.

Cleaning Up: Leadership in an Age of Climate Change · 2026-11-06 Permalink → Listen →
Cleaning Up: Leadership in an Age of Climate Change Around 18:54 into the episode
David Victor

…and shaken them down for big investment commitments. Nobody really knows what that means in practice, but these are hundreds of billions of dollars. What's plausibly going to happen is we're going to see those Asian vendors build factories in the United States and sell product in the United States.

Bryony Worthington

…that's all predicated on data centers. And if there's one thing that did emerge in this election, it's the kind of unpopularity of data centers. And I think there was something like 35 or 40 ballot measures, which were basically saying we don't want any more data centers. So what's going on there?

David Victor

Yeah, so I find it interesting as somebody who studies the electricity business. For a decade or more, we've all been expecting demand for electricity to rise. The narrative for a long time was it was electrification because of decarbonization. And we're seeing in some states, California probably most prominently, because of decarbonization concerns, national security concerns, electric vehicles, a significant part of the growth in electricity in California is related to EV charging. But that's the aberration. Across most of the country, the main growth in electricity consumption is from data centers. And it's concentrated in a few places. It's historically been concentrated in Virginia. There's a kind of network in Loudoun County outside Washington, D.C. The politics there have kind of gone sideways. Then it moved to Texas. The politics in Texas have gone sideways. Governor-elect Inojosa, Democrat, she announced at election that she was going to put a pause on all new data center…

Bryony Worthington

Yeah, it's really counterintuitive, isn't it? And you're right. It is a complete fly paper of issues, including the ownership model of these data centers, right? They're often owned by these big tech companies, these hyperscalers. There's this kind of revolving door where people are selling credits…

David Victor

Yeah, I think it's also created a lot of challenges for the power industry. Like this is an industry that's mainly regulated. Some parts of it are actually state-owned. Most of it's privately owned. Heavily regulated. And it was kind of a boring industry for a long time. And frankly, if for…

Bryony Worthington

Yeah, and I think there's also an element of not wanting your politics to be for sale to the highest bidders, right? I mean, what we saw in Texas was remarkable, really. You know, Elon Musk put in hundreds of millions of dollars into this election to try and keep Texas red. He completely failed…

Speaker names come from our own diarization. The position is estimated from where the line sits in the episode.

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