This closes a run of argument about a doomer post that had prompted talk of pausing training, with Ravenwolf pointing out that nothing came of an earlier warning. The conditional at the end is the actual claim: the bet only pays off if the technology is widely distributed. Alex Volkov cut in to say they could feel a whole debate coming, and Chris Alexiuk picked up the distribution thread straight after.
Did you hear anything that anything happened after that came out? Nothing, right? Nothing. And
the world didn't end.
My P doom for AI is much less than my P doom for humans. If you look at the world where humanity has gone without AI, I think we should risk the chance that with AI we will get something better if it's widely distributed.
All right, folks, I think we could feel a whole debate.
Anti-democratic views and the healthiest thing you can have is an ecosystem. So a monoculture is bad in any ecosystem, whether silicon or organic-based. And still, encryption works. If you want it to work, it does work. And that's the main tool we have. If we distribute it and we're able to have these assistants that are loyal to us and can write their own encryption and provide people privacy, they can do that. But that's not going to happen if you just pull it. It's a very autocratic view that this, oh, this is so dangerous. Only I can have the printing press. You're just being another 15th century sultan now. And that can go pretty bad.
All right, folks, I think we've covered this thing enough. There's plenty of stuff to cover in the big war, big labs, but we will keep monitoring. We'll let you know if anything major happens there. I think we'll skip Apple's event that has nothing to do with AI. The only few things about the Apple event with AI was AirPods cannot translate you. And Apple Watch will now transcribe with AI. And you have this like, what did he say button? The Apple Watch continuously transcribes on the device with no cloud and will tell you, oh, this person said this. I think that's super cool. Also, you'd be able to like record everything, like all your meetings with Apple Watch on device, which is super cool. And obviously, Siri AI that's coming. I've been using Siri AI. It's pretty good, but it's nowhere near the level of Agentic user-facing AIs that we are going to talk about next. So now let's move on to our corner of Agentic AI. Do we have? Yeah, do we have all right? This week, Meta came to us and said, hey, do you know that thing? OpenCloud? Do you know that thing? Hermes, you know, Grogbot, Instinct, Town, all there's tons of them. Here's our attempt at this. Meta introduces Muse, a free 24-7 proactive AI assistant agent that has its own browser, its own computer, and is connected to your systems at Meta. Now, yes, folks, this is the same meta that was Facebook before, that people are very much worried about taking their data and training on it, etc. This is like the same meta. However, I feel like that was a meme a long time ago. And Mark Zuckerberg is not to be disrespected because after Dilemma 3 and open sourcing everything, he literally just like took his money cannon and directed this money cannon towards this problem. And Meta has been just incredible at products. MetaMuse Spark 1.3 from last week is the second winner from last week. Last week, Astra was announced. And MetaMuse Spark is one of the top, you know, somehow. Nobody still counts them. Like we still don't see charts from DeepSeek and Anthropic and OpenAI. They're adding MetaMuse Spark, but they should because it's coming. And Watermelon, which is their much bigger size model, is coming. But also, products coming. And nobody does distributions like Meta. Like, you know, we talked about Google. Google's affected Agentic AI completely, completely fizzled. Gemini Spark is nowhere nearly usable at all. Meta knocked it out the fucking park with Muse. I've been using Muse only for one day. And I can already tell you this is going to change many people's lives given where it's at already and given how good it is already. And yes, again, I'm talking about Facebook. It's ridiculous, but I'm not talking about just all Facebook. I'm talking about the MSL labs in Meta that paid billions of dollars to people to move forward. The MSL labs that took Nat Friedman and Daniel Gross together, two of the more prolific investors in Silicon Valley. Not Friedman used to own GitHub, like CEO of GitHub. I'm talking about Meta who bought Menus and then had to sell Menus back to China because of anti-regulation stuff in China. Meta built Muse. So let's take a look at Muse. Anybody try Muse already? Besides me,