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KH Kay Haigh On Bloomberg Surveillance

“It wasn't just a question of pricing the underlying risk, but it was much more the question of pricing capacity and balance sheet as to how much of this risk could really be digested in a short period in the market. And the result of that was spread widening.”

Bloomberg Surveillance · October 2026

“It wasn't just a question of pricing the underlying risk, but it was much more the question of pricing capacity and balance sheet as to how much of this risk could really be digested in a short period in the market. And the result of that was spread widening.” — Kay Haigh, Bloomberg Surveillance

Context

Asked about AI debt and the on- and off-balance-sheet financing behind it, the Goldman Sachs fixed-income guest separates the recent equity selloff from a credit move that began months earlier as hyperscaler and chip-deal bond issuance flooded the market.

Transcript

Bloomberg Surveillance Around 02:03 into the episode
Kay Haigh

It's probably worth just kind of separating what's happening in the equity markets over the last kind of 48 hours or so and what's been happening in the fixed income markets for the last two or three months.

Tom Keene

Because the move.

Kay Haigh

Started in the fixed income markets and the move was driven by the sheer amount of issuance that was coming to the market. So initially, beginning of the year, Investors were very keen to get in on some of this AI debt, hyperscalers, some of these kind of chip deals. So investors picked them up, but they kept coming. And at some point, I think investors figured out pretty quickly that, you know, it wasn't just a question of kind of pricing the underlying risk, but it was much more the question of pricing capacity and balance sheet as to how much of this risk could really be digested in a short period in the market. And the result of that was spread widening. To the off-balance sheet point, look, that's what we follow very, very closely. You've got the deals. You've got the deals that are on balance sheet. But the interesting part, actually, is a lot of these residual guarantees are kind of contingent liabilities. And tracking these to understand actually what the buildup is of this kind of concentration risk in the system is a very important…

Paul Sweeney

Are you concerned about some of these off-balance sheet financing structures, which presumably we're going to see more of going forward? Because the CapEx numbers I see for a lot of these companies suggest more debt issuance.

Richard Portes

Yeah.

Tom Keene

So the CapEx numbers are remarkable.

Speaker names come from our own diarization. The position is estimated from where the line sits in the episode.

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