Charlie Garcia
Advised six presidents, both parties.
“In 2020 the final 270toWin average had Sara Gideon ahead of Susan Collins by 3.8 points. Collins won by 8.6. The polls missed by 12.4 points, which in polling is not an error. It is a different state.”
Capital Mischief · October 2026
Context
From Charlie Garcia's Capital Mischief newsletter on 2026 midterm polling, recalling the gap between final polls and the result in Maine's 2020 Senate race.