RN

Ramtin Naimi

Things Ramtin Says on Podcasts

Where to Find Them

Ramtin Naimi has been a guest on Invest Like the Best (Patrick O'Shaughnessy) (2 times) .

Recently: “Ramtin Naimi - The State of Venture - [Invest Like the Best, EP.499]” on Invest Like the Best (Patrick O'Shaughnessy) (November 2026); “Ramtin Naimi - Building Abstract - [Invest Like the Best, EP.435]” on Invest Like the Best (Patrick O'Shaughnessy) (July 2025).

What They Said

“I can't really think of many times in history where an easy strategy turned out to also be a good strategy long term. So I think that's the interesting thing about this market: if everybody believes that's an easy way to make money, it's probably not a great way to make money.” — Ramtin Naimi, Invest Like the Best (Patrick O'Shaughnessy)

Asked whether the sane move is to skip frothy seed pricing and just buy big late-stage companies, Naimi says a record number of VC firms have piled into that same idea in the last 18 months, making it consensus.

Invest Like the Best (Patrick O'Shaughnessy) · 2026-11-06 Permalink → Listen →
Invest Like the Best (Patrick O'Shaughnessy) Around 30:35 into the episode
Ramtin Naimi

think that's probably

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

less competition there. It's

Ramtin Naimi

less competition. You could deploy large sums of capital into those companies and be a passive investor. I think it's probably a safe way to know that you have exposure to great companies. The main question is, if you're pricing those companies in today's environment, you need to kind of answer for yourself whether you believe it's 2019 or 2021. Because in 2021, you could have invested in Stripe at $100 billion and Stripe was a great company. It still is a great company, arguably one of the best. But today, Stripe is $179 billion, which is great. But that's what, like an 11, 12% IRR over five years, which by the way, is still better than like the bottom 75% of venture. So you can probably secure yourself a top quartile position in the venture market by backing the best companies at the highest prices because they are great companies and great companies tend to continue to be great companies. They do tend to compound over time. But I do think the thing that gives me a little concern around that strategy is how consensus the approach you described has just…

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

about the data companies where the narrative for years was this is more like a trade than a company? We need to arm all these models with tons of data, but once we have the data, we're going to be good. Seems like maybe that narrative has shifted and these things seem to be more persistent than one…

Ramtin Naimi

Data companies are kind of like a conundrum to most investors because I think the belief historically was these companies don't have long-term sustainability because eventually the people they sell the data to will get all the data they need and not need their data anymore. But I think people have…

Speaker 3

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Speaker names come from our own diarization. The position is estimated from where the line sits in the episode.
“I think there was going to be like two or three great Neolabs. And now there's probably 80 or 90 Neolabs that have raised somewhere between $1 to $5 billion. … We met a Neolab a couple of weeks ago that was raising $1 billion, I think this was their second round of financing, and they were going to spend the entire billion next year on compute for one training run. And they said they would probably need to raise another $5 billion throughout next year.” — Ramtin Naimi, Invest Like the Best (Patrick O'Shaughnessy)

Asked about the oddity of talk of stranded compute while nobody can get GPU allocation, Naimi describes the boom in new AI labs. His claim is that capital, not chips, may end up as the real constraint.

Invest Like the Best (Patrick O'Shaughnessy) · 2026-11-06 Permalink → Listen →
Invest Like the Best (Patrick O'Shaughnessy) Around 17:56 into the episode
Patrick O'Shaughnessy

…having quite a tough week in the markets. And at the same time, literally nobody can seem to get generation prior, let alone current generation Bear Rubin or something allocation from NVIDIA. And the price of GPUs just looks unidirectional. It seems to me like a very bizarre moment in the market.

Speaker 4

The thing that we're seeing in our portfolio

Ramtin Naimi

companies is that we are routinely helping them find compute because finding compute for them is not easy. A lot of the largest NeoClouds, and we have relationships with a number of them, aren't really interested in engaging with compute deals that are like sub $200 million in scale. And so companies that don't have that level of scale are, you know, trying to lease some capacity here, some capacity there. But those guys on a relative basis don't actually make up for the scale of this market. The people that are actually moving the needle for how much compute is necessary in this ecosystem are the hyperscalers, the frontier model labs, and then, you know, the companies that are private, Neolabs raising $1 billion plus seat valuations, effectively. I think the only thing that limits demand for compute over time is if their compute needs from these companies diminish, or the companies that have these compute needs have a harder time raising capital. There's a subset of companies that you know, I know that are going to continue raising because they're the best assets and they'll have all the cash they need to buy all the compute they need. I think the most interesting segment of the market, which on a relative basis is still small…

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Could it just be capital is the actual constraint that if the capital markets dry up, then that will be what causes the compute story to change? That's it?

Ramtin Naimi

Potentially. And I think it's more on the debt side than the equity side. I think a lot of these guys that are building these things, they need debt in excess of 5 to 10x of the equity that they raised. Given what happened in public markets with some of the neoclouds in the past couple of weeks, I…

Patrick O'Shaughnessy

What about commenting just on seed as like a concept? Some seed deals that get done at just crazy prices and don't really feel like seed. They're like seed risk for Series D pricing or something like this. Of course, with the promise that these new markets are bigger than ever and everything can be…

Speaker names come from our own diarization. The position is estimated from where the line sits in the episode.

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