“Florida is the fastest state in the country at reporting results. They drop things within half an hour, and they'll have two-thirds of the vote. Florida is the new California, not in vote counting speed but in how many competitive House races there are. There are six or seven races that I'm watching.”
sputnikintelligence.com
Asked what to watch when polls close at 7 p.m. Eastern, the elections analyst says Florida will tell viewers a lot early because it counts fast and has many competitive House seats. A practical guide to timing on election night.
…But if Republicans win those seats, I wouldn't necessarily, I mean, you can look at the margins, obviously, although margins are subject to change over election night. But these are not seats that Democrats have to win in order to win the House or even to have kind of a healthy margin in the House.
…Carolina, Vermont, and New Hampshire. I think most of us are going to be watching Georgia, Virginia, and Florida. Also, I mean, a shout out to New Hampshire, although that race has become significantly less interesting as time has gone on. What are you going to be watching for in those states?
This is all about Florida for me. So Florida, in addition to closing relatively early at 7 p.m., is also, as maybe people know, if you're listening to this podcast, you might know, the fastest state in the country at reporting results, right? They drop things like within half an hour. Like they'll have like two-thirds of the vote. And I'll put as an aside at Vote Beat, where my day job is, we have an interactive up now that shows when the result, when results came in in 2024 on election night. And there's like a map and like there's a slider and you can kind of like pull it and see like how fast each state fills in. And Florida just like shoots right up. So that is a state where we are going to know a lot very quickly. It's also a state that has a lot of competitive races, actually. There are like basically Florida is the new California in terms of, not in terms of vote counting speed, but in terms of how many competitive house races there are. There are like races, I think like six or seven races that I'm watching in Florida. And I will put on the appropriate caveats that Florida is…
And also, of course, there's an open governor's race that has been more competitive than the Senate race. And for that, of course, Florida is the second oldest state. It's very diverse and urbanized for leaning Republican. It's idiosyncratic in all of the ways that we've talked about. The Latino…
They implemented reforms after 2020.
That's the end of today's preview. Head to gdpolitics.com to become a paid subscriber and catch the full episode. Nathaniel and I spent an hour going through the states as the polls close. We talked about the states that will give us an early indication of turnout amongst black voters, like…