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Geoffrey Skelley
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Geoffrey Skelley

Things Geoffrey Says on Podcasts

Chief Elections Analyst for Decision Desk HQ. Data journalist, elections guru, and close observer of American politics. Alum of FiveThirtyEight and Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics.

“Republican Rep. Jen Kiggans is now a clear underdog in the DDHQ forecast, with only about a 1 in 6 shot of beating Democratic ex-Rep. Elaine Luria, whom Kiggans ousted in 2022.” — Geoffrey Skelley on Jen Kiggans, Decision Desk HQ “First elected in 1982, Democratic Rep. Marcy Kaptur is about as well-entrenched an incumbent as exists, but Ohio’s new district lines made her already red-leaning seat a hair more Republican (Trump +11). Yet she is a 7 in 10 favorite in her rematch against Republican Derek Merrin, whom Kaptur narrowly defeated in 2024.” — Geoffrey Skelley on Marcy Kaptur, Decision Desk HQ “First up are two seats with Democratic incumbents: Reps. Kathy Castor and Jared Moskowitz of Florida’s 14th and 25th districts, respectively. Each incumbent has about a 2 in 3 chance of winning despite competing on redder turf under the GOP’s new Florida lines.” — Geoffrey Skelley on Jared Moskowitz, Decision Desk HQ

Where to Find Them

Geoffrey Skelley hosts and writes Decision Desk HQ , writes So What and writes The Smerconish Podcast . They have also been a guest on GD POLITICS (3 times) . They also write for Geoffrey Skelley on Substack.

Recently: “Episode 49: Senate Signals, with Jessica Taylor (Cook Political Report) & Miles Coleman (Sabato’s Crystal Ball)” on Decision Desk HQ (October 2026); “🗳️ 🕕 🕖 Key House races to watch early on Election Night” on Decision Desk HQ (October 2026); “Forecast Update: Democrats favored to win House, Senate remains close” on Decision Desk HQ (October 2026); “Forecast Update: Democrats favored to win House, Senate remains close” on Decision Desk HQ (October 2026); “Episode 48: Breaking Down the House, with Erin Covey (Cook Political Report) & Jacob Rubashkin (Inside Elections)” on Decision Desk HQ (October 2026); “Episode 48: Breaking Down the House, with Erin Covey (Cook Political Report) & Jacob Rubashkin (Inside Elections)” on Decision Desk HQ (October 2026).

What They Said

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