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Steve Marchand
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Steve Marchand

Things Steve Says on Podcasts

Author of The Politics of New Hampshire on Substack, and Chairman of Move The Goalposts, a NH-based organization dedicated to helping downballot Democrats succeed.

“Pappas enjoys a stable lead. Although there were concerns about this race from national Democrats earlier this fall, Pappas has enjoyed a solid mid-single-digit lead for most of this election cycle. The fundamentals of this race have not changed, and time is running out for such a change to occur.” — Steve Marchand on Chris Pappas and John Sununu, The Politics of New Hampshire with Steve Marchand “Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington’s financial disadvantage is preventing her from closing the gap further, but Ayotte is struggling to get much above 50%, and the model sees it as likely that remaining undecided voters will fall to Warmington, closing the gap a little more.” — Steve Marchand on Cinde Warmington, The Politics of New Hampshire with Steve Marchand “In Georgia, Senator Jon Ossoff has pulled away, and appears to be having the effect of giving Democratic gubernatorial nominee (and former Atlanta Mayor) Keisha Lance Bottoms a real chance of pulling off the upset.” — Steve Marchand on Jon Ossoff, The Politics of New Hampshire with Steve Marchand “Both nominees have largely consolidated their bases (Shaheen gets 90% of the vote among registered Dems, while DiLorenzo gets 86%), but Shaheen earns her lead with a wide 50%-26% lead among registered Undeclareds.” — Steve Marchand on Stefany Shaheen, The Politics of New Hampshire with Steve Marchand “Like Pappas and Sununu, I see Shaheen as a “high floor, low ceiling” candidate, because of her last name. People think they know Stefany based on what they feel about Jeanne Shaheen. Is it fair? Obviously not…but it is also why Stefany Shaheen was able to power through the primary.” — Steve Marchand on Stefany Shaheen, The Politics of New Hampshire with Steve Marchand

Where to Find Them

Steve Marchand hosts and writes The Politics of New Hampshire with Steve Marchand .

Recently: “All the House Candidates You Can Handle” on The Politics of New Hampshire with Steve Marchand (October 2026); “New Downballot Projections for NH on a “Deep Dive” Sunday” on The Politics of New Hampshire with Steve Marchand (October 2026); “New Podcast: Rebecca Harned Takes on the Senate Sponsor of Question 2” on The Politics of New Hampshire with Steve Marchand (October 2026); “New Podcast: Rebecca Harned Takes on the Senate Sponsor of Question 2” on The Politics of New Hampshire with Steve Marchand (October 2026); “Have Lunch with Sen. Chris Coons & Me Tomorrow” on The Politics of New Hampshire with Steve Marchand (October 2026); “New Podcast: Will the NH Supreme Court Overturn Claremont?” on The Politics of New Hampshire with Steve Marchand (October 2026).

What They Said

“Pappas enjoys a stable lead. Although there were concerns about this race from national Democrats earlier this fall, Pappas has enjoyed a solid mid-single-digit lead for most of this election cycle. The fundamentals of this race have not changed, and time is running out for such a change to occur.” — Steve Marchand on Chris Pappas and John Sununu, The Politics of New Hampshire with Steve Marchand

From Steve Marchand's New Hampshire politics newsletter, in a section on the factors shaping his October 2026 downballot projections. Marchand, who chairs a group that helps downballot Democrats, is describing the Senate race between Democrat Chris Pappas and Republican John E. Sununu.

The Politics of New Hampshire with Steve Marchand · 2026-10-25 Permalink → Listen →
“Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington’s financial disadvantage is preventing her from closing the gap further, but Ayotte is struggling to get much above 50%, and the model sees it as likely that remaining undecided voters will fall to Warmington, closing the gap a little more.” — Steve Marchand on Cinde Warmington, The Politics of New Hampshire with Steve Marchand

From a projection model for the New Hampshire governor's race.

The Politics of New Hampshire with Steve Marchand · 2026-10-25 Permalink → Listen →
“In Georgia, Senator Jon Ossoff has pulled away, and appears to be having the effect of giving Democratic gubernatorial nominee (and former Atlanta Mayor) Keisha Lance Bottoms a real chance of pulling off the upset.” — Steve Marchand on Jon Ossoff, The Politics of New Hampshire with Steve Marchand

A New Hampshire election newsletter looking at the national map in the final week.

The Politics of New Hampshire with Steve Marchand · 2026-10-25 Permalink → Listen →
“Both nominees have largely consolidated their bases (Shaheen gets 90% of the vote among registered Dems, while DiLorenzo gets 86%), but Shaheen earns her lead with a wide 50%-26% lead among registered Undeclareds.” — Steve Marchand on Stefany Shaheen, The Politics of New Hampshire with Steve Marchand

Analyzing a new UNH poll of New Hampshire races.

The Politics of New Hampshire with Steve Marchand · 2026-09-25 Permalink → Listen →
“Like Pappas and Sununu, I see Shaheen as a “high floor, low ceiling” candidate, because of her last name. People think they know Stefany based on what they feel about Jeanne Shaheen. Is it fair? Obviously not…but it is also why Stefany Shaheen was able to power through the primary.” — Steve Marchand on Stefany Shaheen, The Politics of New Hampshire with Steve Marchand

Analyzing a new UNH poll of New Hampshire races.

The Politics of New Hampshire with Steve Marchand · 2026-09-25 Permalink → Listen →

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