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SM Steve Marchand Steve Marchand Author of The Politics of New Hampshire on Substack, and Chairman of Move The Goalposts, a NH-based organization dedicated to helping downballot Democrats succe...

“Pappas enjoys a stable lead. Although there were concerns about this race from national Democrats earlier this fall, Pappas has enjoyed a solid mid-single-digit lead for most of this election cycle. The fundamentals of this race have not changed, and time is running out for such a change to occur.”

The Politics of New Hampshire with Steve Marchand · US Politics · October 2026

“Pappas enjoys a stable lead. Although there were concerns about this race from national Democrats earlier this fall, Pappas has enjoyed a solid mid-single-digit lead for most of this election cycle. The fundamentals of this race have not changed, and time is running out for such a change to occur.” — Steve Marchand on Chris Pappas and John Sununu, The Politics of New Hampshire with Steve Marchand

Context

From Steve Marchand's New Hampshire politics newsletter, in a section on the factors shaping his October 2026 downballot projections. Marchand, who chairs a group that helps downballot Democrats, is describing the Senate race between Democrat Chris Pappas and Republican John E. Sununu.

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