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SM Steve Marchand Steve Marchand Author of The Politics of New Hampshire on Substack, and Chairman of Move The Goalposts, a NH-based organization dedicated to helping downballot Democrats succe...

“Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington’s financial disadvantage is preventing her from closing the gap further, but Ayotte is struggling to get much above 50%, and the model sees it as likely that remaining undecided voters will fall to Warmington, closing the gap a little more.”

The Politics of New Hampshire with Steve Marchand · US Politics · October 2026

“Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington’s financial disadvantage is preventing her from closing the gap further, but Ayotte is struggling to get much above 50%, and the model sees it as likely that remaining undecided voters will fall to Warmington, closing the gap a little more.” — Steve Marchand on Cinde Warmington, The Politics of New Hampshire with Steve Marchand

Context

From a projection model for the New Hampshire governor's race.

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