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Start free trial →UBS On-Air: Market Moves · Money & Markets · November 2026
Asked why retail $25 par preferreds have become so volatile, he traces it to the 2020-2021 refinancing boom, when issuers locked in record-low coupons on perpetual preferreds.
…the bottom line for the $25 par market is this: you've had greater volatility, you've had meaningful underperformance, and you're now being paid more than 7% yields while you wait for a potential rebound. And Dan, I think that combination, in our view, creates a potentially attractive opportunity.
Very helpful overview at the start as to the rationale behind CIO's upgrade of preferred securities to attractive. Frank, what is it about the retail $25 par preferred sector that makes it more volatile?
Well, first, I think it's important to recognize it wasn't always this way. The $25 par preferred market is much more volatile today than it was just five years ago. And the reason goes back to 2020 and 2021. We had this massive refinancing boom at that time when the Fed had interest rates down near zero. As you recall, back in the early COVID days, the Federal Reserve brought interest rates down as a consequence of that challenging time in our economy. And that extremely low rate environment gave issuers the opportunity to lock in historically low coupons on fixed rate perpetual preferreds. And that refinancing boom really fundamentally changed the character of the market. Today, duration in the $25 par sector, interest rate sensitivity measured by what we call duration, it's more than nine years. That's the highest it's been in the near. 15-year history of the major fixed-rate preferred index. And here's the comparison that really puts into perspective. In the five years before 2021, average duration was only about 4.6 years. So the market today has roughly twice the interest rate sensitivity it had before the refinancing surge of…
So, Frank, that makes sense as you broke it down there for a slow coupon, fixed-rate preferreds have more rate sensitivity. Though, Frank, haven't we seen instances, specifically in October, where the $25 par preferreds have declined even when rates are falling?
Excellent point. I get this question a lot, and it is true. But it comes down to market-demanded yield and compensation for risk. So, let's break it down this way: if higher rates on treasuries push yields higher in credit markets, then prices have to come down in those credit markets. Conversely…
To summarize, you've conveyed that the sector's greater volatility combined with its recent spout of underperformance may provide a setup for a sector rebound. To underscore the opportunities set here, Frank, what are the other parts of the investment case for the $25 per preferred sector? Well,