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NC Niall Cotter On Build a Better Agency Podcast

“Genuine uncertainty is economic uncertainty: politics, the economy, AI. That's uncertainty you can't avoid, and every entrepreneur faces it. The avoidable ambiguity is understanding your cost to deliver. That is a number finance can work out. There is no excuse, if you have the right governance and discipline, for not being on top of that number.”

Build a Better Agency Podcast · Agency Business · November 2026

“Genuine uncertainty is economic uncertainty: politics, the economy, AI. That's uncertainty you can't avoid, and every entrepreneur faces it. The avoidable ambiguity is understanding your cost to deliver. That is a number finance can work out. There is no excuse, if you have the right governance and discipline, for not being on top of that number.” — Niall Cotter, Build a Better Agency Podcast

Context

Asked to explain for a non-finance owner the difference between avoidable ambiguity and genuine uncertainty, he separates external risk from internal costs that can be known.

Transcript

Build a Better Agency Podcast Around 13:18 into the episode
Niall Cotter

…at it constantly as to how it's impacting your bottom line, is your margin higher temporarily? Do you know exactly how many hours are being spent? Are you doing revisions? If you're not on top of that, then you will get bad data. And again, there's nothing finance can really do at that point.

Drew McLellan

…which of course I am, but explain it to me like I'm an agency owner that does not have a finance background. I'm a, I'm a, I actually am a writer by trade. So explain it to me like you know, I don't really get finance. What's the difference between avoidable ambiguity and genuine uncertainty?

Niall Cotter

So genuine uncertainty is economic uncertainty. You know, when you grow your business, you don't know there's so many things that can happen, either, you know, politically, economy-wise, AI, the AI impact, AI impact, there are so many things that are out of your control. And that's what I mean that that is, you know, that's uncertainty that you can't avoid. Every entrepreneur faces that. The avoidable ambiguity side of things is understanding your cost to deliver. That is a number finance can work out. There is no excuse if you have the right governance and discipline for not being on top of that number and ensuring that your decisions are consistent with that number or knowing when something has to be done. That's what I mean by unavoidable ambiguity.

Drew McLellan

So why don't we all know that number? Like if that's the, if that's the critical number to know, what gets in the way of us knowing it?

Niall Cotter

Typically growth, because you get complexity. When you move to 100, you know, let's say 100 person marketing firm, you have different layers underneath that. You have managers managing managers, right? You have department budgets. You've got targets that are, you're being told by other folks, you…

Drew McLellan

So you're saying that a small agency of less than 10 people, the founder knows all the numbers they need to know.

Speaker names come from our own diarization. The position is estimated from where the line sits in the episode.

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