“Alaska got the best possible candidate, which is Mary Peltola. She was a former congressman, but Alaska really likes her. … Peltola in a normal race would be, maybe in the toss-up, but a little bit, maybe even leaning D, but this could be a toss-up race. But add in the very weird system they have in Alaska, which is a top four system with ranked choice voting … I think Peltola is the slight favorite there.”

…I think right now. Uh, so there's gotta be two surprises in there for most people. Alaska. New Hampshire and Ohio. Now, I kind of, when I entered this exercise thought I would have, uh, I might have put a bunch of these into the the tossup area. I, I don't have them in the tossup area. I have them leaning Democrat and let me talk to you about why. Alaska first off is the weirdest one. Alaska got the best possible candidate, which is Mary Peltola. She was a former congressman, but Alaska really likes her. Um, and so she's the Democrat in that race. Sullivan, the Republican in that race, you know, he's a somewhat normal regular Republican but just doesn't have great approval ratings. He's suffering from the climate here, and I think Peltola is in a normal race would be. I would, you know, maybe in the tossup, but a little bit, maybe even leaning D, but this could be a tossup…