Jim Geraghty

Things Jim Says on Podcasts

Senior political correspondent at National Review and contributing columnist at The Washington Post since 2022. Author of Voting to Kill (2006), the novel The Weed Agency (2014) and Heavy Lifting (2015, with Cam Edwards). Hosts 3 Martini Lunch, a daily political commentary podcast, with Greg Corombos. Appears on Reasonably Optimistic.

Where to Find Them

Jim Geraghty hosts and writes 3 Martini Lunch – Political Humor & Commentary , writes The Editors and writes | National Review . They have also been a guest on Reasonably Optimistic (9 times) .

Recently: “The Disturbing Truth of Ilhan Omar's Immigration Story” on 3 Martini Lunch – Political Humor & Commentary (October 2026); “Cenk Uygur's PAC Faces Anti-Semitism Claims Over El-Sayed Ad” on 3 Martini Lunch – Political Humor & Commentary (October 2026); “Dems Call for Government to Take Companies Away From Elon Musk” on 3 Martini Lunch – Political Humor & Commentary (October 2026); “Ilhan Omar's Odd Answer, Leftists Burning France, Another Bogus Pollster | Last Call” on 3 Martini Lunch – Political Humor & Commentary (October 2026); “Hillary's Court-Packing Plan & Dem Senate Election Shenanigans” on 3 Martini Lunch – Political Humor & Commentary (October 2026); “Ilhan Omar’s stunning answer to MSNOW” on 3 Martini Lunch – Political Humor & Commentary (October 2026).

What They Said

“Unfortunately, in the governor's race, it looks like Democratic Senator Amy Klobuchar is running well ahead of Republican Lisa Demuth. … Amy Klobuchar, I mean, a Democrat, undoubtedly. But she can say, look, I've been in Washington. I didn't have anything to do with the decisions of the state government over the last four years. So in a very strange way, usually you're trying to run as an outsider in Senate race. In this strange one, Amy Klobuchar says, look, I am an outsider to the state capitol.” — Jim Geraghty on Amy Klobuchar, 3 Martini Lunch – Political Humor & Commentary

Jim Geraghty of National Review on the 3 Martini Lunch podcast (October 1, 2026), discussing Minnesota's statewide races and the effect of the state's fraud scandals on Democratic candidates.

3 Martini Lunch – Political Humor & Commentary · 2026-10-01 Permalink → Listen →
3 Martini Lunch – Political Humor & Commentary Around 03:35 into the episode
Greg Corombos

Yeah.

Speaker 1

So a bit more seriously, I.

Jim Geraghty

Had said Michelle Tafoya was probably about the best candidate Republicans could hope for. She's well known, got high name ID, but not from traditional politics. And I would note that, like, look, you mentioned the Keith Ellison being in trouble. Unfortunately, in the governor's race, it looks like Democratic Senator Amy Klobuchar is running well ahead of Republican Lisa Demuth. So one of the interesting things is that, you know, Amy Klobuchar, I mean, a Democrat, undoubtedly. But she can say, look, I've been in Washington. I didn't have anything to do with the decisions of the state government over the last four years. So in a very strange way, usually you're trying to run as an outsider in Senate race. In this strange one, Amy Klobuchar says, look, I am an outsider to the state capitol.

Speaker 1

I have nothing to do.

Jim Geraghty

With what's been going on lately and can be a little bit more the candidate of change. But I think the fact that Peggy Flanagan is running so much worse than Klobuchar is indicates that the fraud scandals have really damaged her. Obviously, Tim Walz was thinking about running for re-election, chose…

Greg Corombos

Yeah, no question about it. And so we hope that she continues to do well and we'll see if those poll numbers move in her favor even more. But neck and neck in Minnesota in a national environment like this is probably better than we could have hoped for. But now we'll be looking at what the…

Speaker names come from our own diarization. The position is estimated from where the line sits in the episode.
“We probably should be a little skeptical of these internal polls released by the Osborn campaign. Lo and behold, an internal poll from the pro-Osborn super PAC put Osborn ahead by one percentage point. … Dan Osborn is close in Nebraska. Again, registered voters. It's just a very Republican state. You really need things to break their way.” — Jim Geraghty on Dan Osborn, 3 Martini Lunch – Political Humor & Commentary

Jim Geraghty of National Review on the 3 Martini Lunch podcast (October 1, 2026), discussing Democratic hopes in traditionally Republican Senate races. He was comparing Osborn's 2024 campaign polling with the result and the current race against Sen. Pete Ricketts.

3 Martini Lunch – Political Humor & Commentary · 2026-10-01 Permalink → Listen →
3 Martini Lunch – Political Humor & Commentary Around 09:14 into the episode
Jim Geraghty

…to put them over the top. Nebraska, you could pretty much rerun the tape from my assessment of it last time around. Dan Osborne released a bunch of internal polls. He convinced people that this was going to be a very close race. When the votes were counted, Republican Deb Fischer won 53.3% to.

Speaker 1

46.7%, a margin of more than 62,000 votes. Is that a guarantee that Republican Pete Ricketts is going to win reelection?

Jim Geraghty

No, but it says we probably should, you know, be a little skeptical of these internal polls released by the Osborne campaign. Lo and behold, an internal poll from the pro-Osborne super PAC put Osborne ahead by one percentage point. Time is a flat circle, as they said in the first season of True Detective. Everything we've ever done is going to happen again.

Speaker 1

And here we go again.

Jim Geraghty

Dan Osborne is close in Nebraska. Again, registered voters. It's just a very Republican state. You really need things to break their way. I see a very similar dynamic in South Dakota where independent... By the way, Brian Bangs ran as a Democrat for Senate four years ago.

Speaker 1

Nothing's changed. This guy is a Democrat. Oh, but I'm an independent now.

Speaker names come from our own diarization. The position is estimated from where the line sits in the episode.
“Pennsylvania is probably the single most important swing state. You nominate a governor who's been elected statewide a couple of times, probably going to win re-election by a wide margin. That would only help you in that state.” — Jim Geraghty on Josh Shapiro, 3 Martini Lunch – Political Humor & Commentary

Jim Geraghty of National Review on 3 Martini Lunch, in October 2026, floating a Democratic ticket of Sen. Jon Ossoff and Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro for 2028 while speaking as a Republican-leaning observer.

3 Martini Lunch – Political Humor & Commentary · 2026-10-14 Permalink → Listen →
3 Martini Lunch – Political Humor & Commentary Around 02:21 into the episode
Speaker 4

They likely will not. What do you have on this one, Jim?

Speaker 1

Sure.

Jim Geraghty

…conservative right of center guy hat and just think, like, if I were a Democrat, what would I want? And one of my crazier ideas is a ticket that would consist of John Ossoff, the senator from Georgia, and Josh Shapiro, the governor of Pennsylvania, for an all-Jewish Democratic ticket, really upsetting everybody who's upset about Gaza, but also just kind of recognizing that, like, you know, Pennsylvania is probably the single most important swing state. You nominate a governor who's been elected statewide a couple of times, probably going to win re-election by a wide margin. That would only help you in that state. And John Ossoff is probably going to win for the second time by a pretty solid margin in one of the seven most important states. And he's, you know, he's fairly young. It's a southern state, you know, like I'm just thinking strategically, this is a guy who you think we, and he says he's not interested. Now, of course, Barack Obama was on Meet the Press in like 2007 and said, oh, I'm not…

Speaker 1

And then like a couple months later, you announce you're running for president.

Jim Geraghty

So I don't know whether he thinks he's got a shot to be somebody's running mate or he genuinely does not want to run. But I just found it interesting. And I think if you're a Republican... If he really doesn't run, that takes off. That takes one of the more intriguing chess pieces.

Speaker 1

Off the board.

Speaker names come from our own diarization. The position is estimated from where the line sits in the episode.
“John Ossoff is probably going to win for the second time by a pretty solid margin in one of the seven most important states. And he's, you know, he's fairly young. It's a southern state” — Jim Geraghty on Jon Ossoff, 3 Martini Lunch – Political Humor & Commentary

Jim Geraghty of National Review on the 3 Martini Lunch podcast, discussing a report that Sen. Ossoff says he will not run for president in 2028 and will serve a full Senate term if re-elected. Geraghty says he is speaking as an independent conservative imagining what Democrats would want.

3 Martini Lunch – Political Humor & Commentary · 2026-10-14 Permalink → Listen →
3 Martini Lunch – Political Humor & Commentary Around 02:21 into the episode
Speaker 4

They likely will not. What do you have on this one, Jim?

Speaker 1

Sure.

Jim Geraghty

…of Pennsylvania, for an all-Jewish Democratic ticket, really upsetting everybody who's upset about Gaza, but also just kind of recognizing that, like, you know, Pennsylvania is probably the single most important swing state. You nominate a governor who's been elected statewide a couple of times, probably going to win re-election by a wide margin. That would only help you in that state. And John Ossoff is probably going to win for the second time by a pretty solid margin in one of the seven most important states. And he's, you know, he's fairly young. It's a southern state, you know, like I'm just thinking strategically, this is a guy who you think we, and he says he's not interested. Now, of course, Barack Obama was on Meet the Press in like 2007 and said, oh, I'm not interested in running for president. Of course, I was like, it's 2006, I guess it was. And he says, I'm not interested in running. And of course, then he turns around and runs. It's possible John…

Speaker 1

And then like a couple months later, you announce you're running for president.

Jim Geraghty

So I don't know whether he thinks he's got a shot to be somebody's running mate or he genuinely does not want to run. But I just found it interesting. And I think if you're a Republican... If he really doesn't run, that takes off. That takes one of the more intriguing chess pieces.

Speaker 1

Off the board.

Speaker names come from our own diarization. The position is estimated from where the line sits in the episode.

Collections They Appear In